Numerical forecast model said to be one of the most accurate available
By Summit Voice
SUMMIT COUNTY — Atmospheric scientists at Florida State University say they’re dialed into a numerical forecast model that enables them to predict seasonal hurricane frequency and intensity with greater accuracy than some of the standard forecast techniques.
This season’s outlook from the Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies calls for a 70 percent probability of 10 to 16 named storms and five to nine hurricanes. The mean forecast is for 13 named storms, seven hurricanes, and an average accumulated cyclone energy — a measure of the strength and duration of storms — of 122.
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